Press Release
JAL Group Traffic Forecast During New Year Vacation Period
Tokyo December 19, 2008: Japan Airlines (JAL) has forecast a total of 398,387 international passenger reservations on JAL Group airlines during the Japanese New Year period, from December 26, 2008 to January 4, 2009. It is an estimated 6.6% decrease in the number of international passenger reservations during the vacation period amidst the current economic climate and with the overall international seat capacity 4.8% down against the same period last year following continuous network restructuring. The forecast international seat load factor is 77.8%.
When compared to the same period last year, the forecast number of passenger bookings to Korea is expected to increase by 3.1%. This leads to a forecast improvement in the seat load factor on the Korea route from 86.4% to 89.7%. Also estimated to increase versus previous year are the seat load factors for Honolulu, Taiwan and China by 2.9%, 0.6% and 1.1% respectively.
The JAL Group will operate additional 71 flights to vacation destinations such as Guam, Hawaii, Fairbanks, Hong Kong and Palau to name a few.
For domestic Japan routes over the festive season, JAL has forecast that seat supply, measured in available seats, will be 0.2% up versus the same period last year. In terms of the total number of domestic passenger bookings, the airline expects 1,174,634 reservations, 1.9% down on last year with the load factor of 63.1%.
JAL Group plans to operate an additional 114 flights to meet the demand on popular domestic Japan routes such as Tokyo - Sapporo, and Tokyo - Kagoshima.
Looking at both international and domestic operations over the New Year period, JAL has forecast that seat supply will be 1% down while passenger booking numbers will be 3.2% down, resulting in an overall decrease in seat load factor by 2.2 points.
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Forecast JAL Group International Reservations (Japan departures) December 26, 2008 to January 4, 2009. |
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|
JAL/JAZ Routes |
Available Seat % Change on 2007 |
Passenger Total |
% Pax Change on 2007 |
Seat load factor % |
|
Hawaii |
-11.4 |
54,385 |
-8.9 |
93.7% |
|
Transpacific |
-7.1 |
33,457 |
-7.9 |
89.9% |
|
Europe |
-6.9 |
31,230 |
-8.1 |
72.2% |
|
S.E. Asia |
+2.2 |
101,934 |
-5.7 |
79.4% |
|
Oceania |
-19.6 |
12,339 |
-33.4 |
77.8% |
|
Guam/ Saipan |
-3.0 |
17,754 |
-4.8 |
93.7% |
|
Korea |
-1.2 |
59,536 |
+3.1 |
89.7% |
|
China |
-4.4 |
53,681 |
-3.3 |
53.0% |
|
Taiwan |
-10.8 |
34,071 |
-10.2 |
80.2% |
|
TOTAL |
-4.8 |
398,387 |
-6.6 |
77.8 |
(JAZ=JALways) ASK = Available Seat Kilometers
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Forecast JAL Group Domestic Reservations December 26, 2008 to January 4, 2009. |
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|
|
Available Seat % Change on 2007 |
Passenger Total |
% Pax Change on 2007 |
Seat load factor % |
|
JAL / JEX |
+0.1 |
1,040,165 |
-2.7 |
63.6 |
|
JTA |
+0.1 |
84,661 |
+6.8 |
73.2 |
|
RAC |
+11.1 |
8,514 |
+10.3 |
62.3 |
|
JAC |
-1.3 |
38,284 |
-0.7 |
43.8 |
|
HAC |
+20.2 |
3,010 |
-14.0 |
37.0 |
|
TOTAL |
+0.2 |
1,174,634 |
-1.9 |
63.1 |
JEX=JAL Express; JTA=Japan Transocean Air; RAC=Ryukyu Air Commuter; JAC=Japan Air Commuter; HAC=Hokkaido Air System
END
NY 2008 Forecast.pdf